I've always had a remote suspicion that this administration was not above any desperate move to help their chances this November. That would include a bogus "October Surprise"-like occurrence involving Osama's capture. However, the chart below from Tradesports.com portrays quite a different take on this subject, with the lifetime contract topping out at near 50/50 odds of this happening and steadily eroding to a current 14% chance:
P.S. Note that the above charts depicts odds on an Osama capture by Sept. 30th. Needless to say, if the contract's expiration was extended to election day, the graphic might appear strikingly different!
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