Sunday, May 06, 2007

Several months ago I wrote about how the primary schedule appeared to favor John Edwards.

Late last month top research outfit ISI Group wrote about the same topic, stating because "the primaries will be even more front-loaded in 2008....that Edwards has a better shot at the nomination than most think."

In fact, the first two caucuses are Iowa and Nevada, in that order, and Edwards leads in Iowa which could very much set him up for a huge boost five days later in Nevada.

Needless to say, the road to the nomination is fueled by favorable and plentiful media coverage fueling the necessary momentum to surge to the front of the pack, creating a self-fulfilling domino effect that takes on a power of its own. It worked for John Kerry when he won in Iowa and given the revamped schedule for 2008, such abrupt surprises could work wonders for a non-front-running candidate -- especially if that candidate is already predisposed to being more media-adored than say a John Kerry.

Just some food for thought.

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