Monday, October 18, 2004

"Smart States" Update

On October 1st, I discussed the idea of "smart states," those states that have gone 4-0 in the last four presidential elections, correctly identifying the eventual popular vote winner (Gore = winner). Of the fifty states, only eleven have a perfect predictive record. I calculated an average of the current polling data for each of the 11 states to arrive at a 49-41 margin favoring Kerry.

The update for these 11 states: the average has remained steady, currently favoring Kerry by a 49-42 margin.

Looking good.

No comments: